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Prediction for the IEM Dallas 2025 Grand Final: MOUZ vs Vitality

News
May 25
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The grand final of IEM Dallas 2025 promises to be a true thriller. Two of the tournament’s strongest teams — MOUZ and Vitality — will face off in the decisive match. One team remains undefeated on maps throughout the event, while the other boasts an impressive 29-match win streak. In this preview, we break down their current form, map pool, head-to-head history, and provide a prediction for the grand final.

Current Form of the Teams

MOUZ

The European team has been showing steady progress. Over the past three months, MOUZ have played 61 maps, winning 39 of them. In the last month, they placed 3rd–4th at both IEM Melbourne and BLAST Rivals Season 1. However, at IEM Dallas 2025, the team has significantly improved — reaching the grand final after defeating several strong opponents in the group stage and playoffs.

They’ve won 4 out of their last 5 matches, taking down BC.Game, The MongolZ, Liquid, and Falcons. Their only loss was to Falcons, but they avenged it in the playoffs. MOUZ are currently showing strong synergy and excellent individual form.

Vitality

Vitality enter the grand final as clear favorites. Over the past three months, they’ve won 52 out of 64 maps and are currently on a 29-match win streak. The team claimed first place at both IEM Melbourne and BLAST Rivals Season 1, dominating the competition.

At IEM Dallas 2025, Vitality have won all five of their matches — beating The MongolZ, GamerLegion, Legacy, and Falcons twice. Their confident run continues, and they look like the strongest title contender at the event.

Map Pool Breakdown

In a BO5 format, both teams will be able to showcase the depth of their map pools. Here’s the likely veto and pick sequence:

  • MOUZ ban: Anubis (their most common ban)
  • Vitality ban: Ancient (a map they traditionally avoid)

Map picks:

  • MOUZ pick: Mirage — strong 88% win rate and a comfort pick for torzsi.
  • Vitality pick: Inferno — their best-performing map with a 93% win rate.
  • Third map (MOUZ): Nuke — one of their most picked maps with a 75% win rate.
  • Fourth map (Vitality): Dust2 — another strong pick for them (83% win rate).
  • Decider: Train — a map both teams play, but Vitality have the edge with an 86% win rate.

This setup suggests a close map battle with a high possibility of the series going all five maps.

Head-to-Head and Key Players

In the past six months, Vitality have beaten MOUZ three times:

  • At ESL Pro League Season 21 — 2:0 and 3:0 wins.
  • At BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 — 2:0 in the group stage, and 3:2 in the final.
  • At BLAST Rivals Season 1 — 2:1 victory.

These results clearly show Vitality’s dominance in recent matchups. However, the close 3:2 final in Lisbon proved that MOUZ are closing the gap.

At IEM Dallas 2025, Spinx (1.36 rating) and torzsi (1.43 rating) are in outstanding form and could be the key to breaking Vitality’s streak.

 

Meanwhile, Vitality stars ZywOo (1.19) and flameZ (1.15) have slightly below their usual individual numbers but remain a major threat.

Match Prediction

Despite MOUZ’s strong run at the tournament and the top-tier performances of Spinx and torzsi, Vitality remain the favorite in this grand final. Their championship experience, ongoing 29-win streak, and confidence on key maps give them the upper hand.

MOUZ can certainly challenge them and potentially push the series to five maps, but Vitality have more tools and composure to close it out in a long series.

Prediction: 3–2 in favor of Vitality.

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