The prediction for the Falcons vs NRG match at the IEM Dallas 2025 group stage promises an exciting clash between European experience and North American ambition. Falcons enter the tournament after a series of strong performances on the international stage, while NRG have been dominating their regional scene. In this prediction, we’ll take a closer look at both teams’ form, map pool, and key factors that could determine the outcome of the series.
Current Form
Falcons have been showing strong and consistent performances in 2025. Over the past three months, they’ve played 79 maps and won 45. April was particularly impressive, as they finished 2nd at IEM Melbourne and took another runner-up spot at BLAST Rivals 2025 Season 1. In their last five matches, Falcons defeated high-level teams such as MOUZ, Spirit, and FaZe, only losing twice to Vitality in close series. This indicates solid form and the ability to compete with the world’s best.
NRG are also on the rise, but in a different context — dominating the North American scene. In the past three months, they’ve played 77 maps and won 53. In April, they placed 1st in ESL Challenger League Season 49 NA, won PrizePicks NA Revival Series 6, finished 2nd at Thunderpick NA, and made the top 4 at Fragadelphia Las Vegas. NRG have won four of their last five matches — including two wins over Nous — with their only loss coming against Legacy.
Map Pool
In a best-of-three series, each team bans one map, then picks one, followed by a second ban from each, with the remaining map serving as the decider.
First bans:
- Falcons usually remove Anubis, which happens to be one of NRG’s strongest maps (80% win rate).
- NRG tend to ban Ancient, where Falcons have an excellent 69% win rate.
Picks:
- Falcons are likely to pick Mirage, their most successful map (69%) and a frequent choice.
- NRG will probably go with Dust2, where they boast a massive 86% win rate and play it often.
Second bans:
- Falcons may choose to eliminate Train, where NRG are dangerous with a 71% win rate.
- NRG could ban Nuke, a map Falcons pick fairly often and where they have a solid 58% win rate.
Decider:
- The most probable decider is Inferno — a map neither team favors heavily, but both can play well enough.
Predicted map veto sequence:
- Ban: Anubis (Falcons), Ancient (NRG)
- Pick: Mirage (Falcons), Dust2 (NRG)
- Ban: Train (Falcons), Nuke (NRG)
- Decider: Inferno
Head-to-Head
Falcons and NRG have not faced each other in the past six months. This will be their first official meeting, and it’s an important test for NRG to see if their regional dominance can translate to success against top-tier international opponents.
Match Prediction
While NRG are in excellent form, most of their success comes from regional competition. Falcons, on the other hand, have proven themselves against elite teams and consistently perform on the international stage. The map pool could be relatively balanced — especially if NRG secure Dust2 — but the experience and level of competition faced by Falcons should give them the upper hand.
Prediction: Falcons to win 2–1.
Key factor: Falcons’ experience on LAN and their proven record against top-level opponents.
