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Match Prediction: NAVI vs Astralis – Who Will Win at PGL Astana?

News
May 14
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In the quarterfinals of PGL Major Astana 2025, we’re set for a classic showdown: Natus Vincere, reigning champions of PGL Copenhagen, will face the reformed Astralis, returning to a Major playoff stage for the first time in a while. Both teams are experienced and well-prepared — this matchup could become a modern CS classic.

Path to the Quarterfinals

NAVI started strong with wins over M80 and BIG, showcasing organized play and solid individual form. Despite an unexpected loss to The MongolZ, they bounced back confidently with a clean 2–0 victory against Aurora Gaming. Crucially, the team kept their composure after the setback and showed flexibility in vetoes and in-series adjustments.

Astralis, on the other hand, also secured three wins to reach the quarterfinals. They opened with a win over ODDIK, followed by victories against paiN Gaming and Virtus.pro. Their only loss came against Team Spirit, but even in that match, the Danes demonstrated they can compete at the highest level. The squad featuring stavn and device is finding its rhythm, and HooXi, who replaced cadiaN, has settled well into the IGL role.

Team Form: Style and Key Players

NAVI currently showcase one of the most consistent styles on the scene. Their main driving force is iM, whose aggression on entry gives the team early map control. w0nderful is a cold-blooded new-generation AWPer with a strong K/D and impressive clutch win rate. Aleksib provides strategic stability and ensures the team sticks to their plans.

Astralis remain true to their disciplined, tempo-controlled style. The return of device has boosted confidence, and he’s once again performing like a top-tier AWP. stavn, the young talent, has seamlessly slotted into the team, making up for the absence of BlameF. While HooXi may not lead in stats, he delivers crucial support and structure during key moments.

Map Pool: Analysis and Likely Picks

NAVI:

  • Best maps: Inferno, Train, Mirage
  • Weakest: Anubis

Astralis:

  • Best maps: Nuke, Ancient, Inferno
  • Weakest: Mirage

Expected vetoes:

  • NAVI ban Anubis
  • Astralis ban Mirage

Likely maps: Inferno, Nuke, Train

On Inferno, NAVI are traditionally strong on the CT side, with well-coordinated setups and effective B-site aggression. Nuke could be where Astralis shine, especially with device controlling ramp and lobby. If it goes to Train, the outcome may hinge on AWP duels and late-round executions.

Key Matchups

  • iM vs stavn – A clash of young stars. Whoever finds rhythm first could set the pace for the whole series.
  • w0nderful vs device – A generational AWP battle. The better performer could dictate full-map control.
  • Aleksib vs HooXi – Tactical minds leading very different styles. Aleksib prefers structured pressure; HooXi leans on unpredictability.

Community Expectations

Many analysts are calling this the “early final.” NAVI fans expect a dominant repeat of their Copenhagen performance, while Astralis supporters hope the new roster continues their legacy revival. HLTV comments frequently highlight device vs NAVI as a central narrative of this series.

Prediction

This match is likely to be tense and closely contested. But considering NAVI’s recent stability, playoff experience, and strong individual showings, they seem slightly more prepared for the challenge.

Prediction: NAVI win 2–1

NAVI vs Astralis looks evenly matched. Both teams have stable lineups and a clear game plan. The outcome will likely come down to map execution and key players performing under pressure. Expect a tactical and highly competitive series.

Time to make your prediction

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