If you’re a CS2 fan and love collecting skins, then the M4A1-S Fade might be the golden ticket you’re after. As part of the 2024 Sport & Field Collection, this Covert skin has quickly gained value due to its rarity and stunning appearance. It’s a skin that combines rarity with aesthetic appeal, making it one of the most coveted items in the game. The colorful gradient, with shades of purple, pink, and yellow, brings a sleek and bold look to the M4A1-S. But what really makes this skin stand out is the different seed patterns that can significantly change its appearance. This guide explores everything you need to know about the different fade patterns, float values, and rarity, helping you find the best M4A1-S Fade for your CS2 collection.
M4A1-S Fade Rarity and Value
The M4A1-S Fade is not just any skin—it’s a Covert-tier item, making it one of the rarest in its collection. It has a drop rate of around 0.64%, meaning that acquiring one is an extremely rare event. This rarity, combined with its unique fade gradient that covers the rifle in shades of purple, pink, and yellow, contributes to its high market value. The skin has already reached prices upwards of $400, with some patterns commanding even more due to their visual appeal. Since the M4A1-S Fade does not come in a souvenir or StatTrak variant, collectors focus solely on its pattern and float.
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Ranked List of M4A1-S Fade Patterns
M4A1-S Fade patterns are ranked by the percentage of fade coverage, with the highest-ranking patterns offering a full gradient with little to no visible unpainted sections. Here is a list of the top fade patterns:
| Group | Pattern Seeds |
| 100% | 374, 279, 80, 441, 666, 786, 73, 382, 774, 873, 555, 783, 336, 307, 449 |
| 99% | 463, 576, 57, 895, 156, 110, 957, 785, 613, 467, 565, 292, 360, 926, 245, 352, 140, 112, 518, 478, 304, 148, 317, 770, 652, 353, 172, 564, 209, 584, 915, 959, 946, 210, 312, 870, 331, 236, 7,15, 731, 575, 419, 263, 107, 432, 425, 511, 849, 759, 251, 831, 125, 550, 972 |
| 98% | 692, 603, 846, 690, 534, 429, 278, 410, 362, 447, 94, 547, 468, 961, 368, 86, 795, 108, 345, 391, 535, 962, 275, 897, 648, 411, 702, 474, 582, 393, 436, 807, 670, 3, 100, 952, 344, 451, 164, 674, 493, 232, 280, 610, 867, 103, 88, 954, 319, 91, 756, 836, 383, 624, 508, 124, 460, 922 |
These patterns are highly sought after, with full fades being the most valuable and visually appealing. On the other hand, lower-tier fades—like the 80% fades—leave a noticeable portion of the gun unpainted, lowering both their aesthetic appeal and market value.
Also explore the Karambit Case Hardened: Blue Gem Seed Patterns in our comprehensive guide. Identify rare patterns and enhance your gaming arsenal.
M4A1-S Fade Float Value
Since this skin only exists in Factory New and Minimal Wear conditions, its float range is very narrow (0.00 to 0.08), but even small variations can have a noticeable impact. Here’s how float values affect the M4A1-S Fade:
- Factory New (Float 0.00 to 0.03): Virtually no visible wear, pristine fade gradient with vibrant colors. Has the highest market value due to its perfect condition.
- Minimal Wear (Float 0.04 to 0.08): Slight wear becomes visible, especially around the upper part of the rifle. Lower market value compared to Factory New, but still in high demand.
You may also be interested in our article on the skin float in CS2, what is wear rating and methods to check them.
Odds of Getting M4A1-S Fade
The odds of obtaining an M4A1-S Fade are exceptionally low due to its Covert rarity and the specific fade patterns that collectors seek. Here are some key factors affecting your chances:
- Covert rarity drop rate: Estimated at around 0.64%, making it one of the rarest skins to unbox in CS2.
- Specific pattern odds: Achieving a 100% Full Fade (Pattern #374) is even rarer. With 1,000 possible seed patterns, the odds of unboxing a top-tier pattern (99%-100% fade) are extremely slim.
- Market scarcity: Due to the limited number of M4A1-S Fade skins currently in circulation, top-tier patterns remain highly sought after and priced accordingly.
Explore the statistical odds of knife drops from cases in CS2, unraveling the chance-based excitement of acquiring coveted blades.
What Makes the M4A1-S Fade So Special?
So, what’s the takeaway? The CS2 M4A1-S Fade is more than just a cool-looking skin—it’s a rare gem that can enhance your collection or even make you some serious money. From understanding the significance of fade patterns to keeping an eye on float values, these details can make a huge difference when you’re trading or buying. If you’re lucky enough to unbox or trade for one, be sure to check the pattern and float to maximize its worth in the market. With such rarity, securing a top-tier M4A1-S Fade is no easy task, but it’s certainly worth the pursuit. Have fun!
